9.19.2007

THE SURGE


Now that the markets have been saved and everyone is safe yet again on the long side, SPX futures are trading +9.5 in the premarket, NDX +9 and DJIA +75. Taking some off near here or trailing a stop probably makes some sense as rate cuts don't grow to the sky.


In the FWIW category, I was reading the SP Outlook September 19 Newsletter and see that they have reduced their exposure (just in time) to international equities by 5% and increased their allocation to cash to 15%. So their allocation is now as follows:


US Stocks- 40% - SPY 34%, MDY 4% and IJR (small cap 600) 2%;


Foreign Stocks- 20% - EFA 15% and EEM 5%;


Bonds- 25% -20% AGG and 5% SHY;


CASH 15%;


The newsletter also updates the SP Platinum portfolio which has an excellent long term performance record- Over the last 12 years give or take, according to S&P, the portfolio returned over 15% compared to about 8% for the SPX. Included in the portfolio of about 57 stocks are:


ANF AMGN BBY CVS COF CHK XEC DHR EMC GENZ HIG IBM MTW MSFT MOV NBR NVS SLB SYK and WAG;


It is too bad that our friend Jimmy doesn't give us some kind of model portfolio to track so we can actually follow his advice and see the results. I suspect their is a good reason for it.


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