11.28.2007

BUY LOWER SELL HIGHER


Markets closed up after a rough few weeks with the DJIA +333, NAZ +82 and SPX +41. The RUT was the biggest major market index winner as it closed +3.6%. In addition, OIL closed down about 3% and "may" be another easy trade.


Strong sectors- brokers+6%, banks+5.25%, homies+4.9%, retail+4.6% and semis +4.5%- laggards but up included oil service, utils, biotech, drugs and defense.


Key stocks-40 out of 40 in the green led by VMW ISRG MER LVS BIDU MS NYX C NVDA BG and GS.


OEX - 99 in the green with TYC red;

NDX-95 green;

NAZ-1,700 net green;

NYSE -2,440 net green;

IBD 100-93 green - led by SNDA ININ PDA ISRG GFIG STP SNHY WFR ARGN BIDU;


VIX -24.04 down 8.5% and trading 8% below the 10 day SMA;


Up volume 20X Down Volume- and high volume at 1.7B shs on the NYSE;


SPX closing at 1,469 and near the 1,475 50% retracement-


DJIA -closing at 13,290 and close to the 50% retracement at 13,370. Weekly chart above on DJIA looks pretty good here although I think we can add lower.


Ten year bond at 4.03% - 2008 earnings on SPX estimated at $100 and if we call it safe at $90, the P/E on the 2008 earnings comes in near 16 or over a 6% earnings yield. Much better than a 4% yield on a 10 year Bond with no growth.

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