6.30.2008

UGLY IS UGLY


Markets closed +3 on the DJIA, -22 on the NAZ and +1.6 on the SPX- not too good considering where we traded about 60 minutes before the bell-.


Strong sectors - telecom, utils, steel, oils and drugs while financials, homies, retail and internets lagged.


NYSE- 635 net losers;

NAZ 900 net losers;

NDX- 30 GREEN;

OEX- 50 GREEN;

IBD- 65 GREEN;


VIX- up .5 at 24;


Down volume almost 1.5X up at a heavy 1.6B traded;


For the first six months- not such a great year:


SPX -12.8%;


DJIA - 14.4%


NAZ -13.5%


NDX- 11.9%


RUT -10%


MID -4.6%


LARGE VALUE -15.5%


LARGE GROWTH -10.2%


SMALL VALUE -15%


SMALL GROWTH -5%


VIX +6.4%


OIH + 17.4%


XLE +11.5%


XBD- 29.8%


BKX -34.4%


DRG -14%


GOOG -24%


AAPL -15.3%


Its been an ugly six months - and the next six not looking so good as of now - but maybe we get some good news and a reversion to the mean.

One scenario- oil gets hit $15/20 in a day as demand destruction becomes apparent and the longs quickly flee - I don't think it is that far fetched - as many folks don't like the idea of burning up $4.5 every time they drive 18 miles - so don't be shocked.

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