THE SEISMIC

Saturday morning and Dick Morris reviews the Zogby polling and determines the following:

Dick Morris tells Newsmax that Friday night's polling for Zogby of 1,000 likely voters shows a huge shift for John McCain.

Zogby's poll, conducted on Friday night only, has McCain at 48 percent and Obama, at 47 percent.

Zogby's overall poll has Obama with a lead, but that's based on a three-day average that includes Wednesday and Thursday polling data.

"There is a seismic shift for McCain," Morris told Newsmax. "It could turn into an earthquake this weekend."

The Zogby poll for Saturday released early Sunday morning:

Pollster John Zogby:

"Obama has consolidated his lead over McCain. His single day lead today was back to 52%-42%. He leads by 10 among independents and has solidified his base. He leads among Hispanics by38 points, African Americans by 88, 18-24 year olds by 36, 18-29 year olds by 25, 25-34 year olds by 16, women by 8, and men by 3. He has a 17 point lead among those who have already voted, 22 by those who have registered to vote in the past 6 months, Moderates by 34, Catholics by 10. He even receives 21% support among Conservatives.

"So what happened to give McCain a one-point lead in the one-day polling on Friday? It was a day of consolidation for him, too. He had been losing support among key groups and began to regain some of his own base. He now leads by 21 points among NASCAR fans, 9 among investors, 6 among voters in armed forces households, and 2 among voters over 65 years old.

"Remember, as I said yesterday, one day does not make a trend. This is a three-day rolling average and no changes have been tectonic. A special note to blogger friends: calm it down. Lay off the cable television noise and look at your baseball cards in your spare time. It is better for your (and everyone else's) health."

So much for seismic shifts.

Other rolling polls the last four days- all with Obama in the lead:

Rasmussen (+5) (+5) (+4) (+5)

Zogby (+6) (+5) (+7) (+5)

Hotline (+5) (+7) (+7) (+7)

Gallup (+8) (+10) (+8) (+5)

IBD TIPP (+2) (+5) (+4) (+4)

Intrade odds at McCain at 12% v 88% for Obama (Iowa EM the same odds) with some important state odds as follows:

Colorodo 86/12 Obama;

Florida 70/34 Obama;

Georgia 71/26 McCain;

Indiana 59/45 McCain;

Iowa 95/7 Obama;

Missouri 52/49 McCain;

North Carolin 62/38 Obama;

Ohio 78/23 Obama;

Pennsylvania 88/10 Obama;

Virginia 84/15 Obama;