BOTTOM IN?
"But Intel? I don't see the hope. I don't know what gets it out of the doldrums. A PC pickup? I don't think that's in the cards. More demand? I have to tell you, this is the only company I follow that saw weaker demand in Europe in Asia.
That's quite a feat, because I follow a lot of companies. Plus, being levered to PCs just doesn't cut it anymore. Not when gadget tech or big-screen tech or video-on-demand tech's got great momentum. Let me put it another way. If you really think that Intel is good, that it won't have to initiate a price war, that business is solid, then I would go buy AMD (AMD:NYSE - commentary - research - Cramer's Take)! It's got the better momentum, the better customer base and the cheaper chips! Otherwise, let Intel rally to $20, and then sell it again. "
So its late April and Jimmy is bearish on INTC under 20. Of course in January he had this to say about INTC and I quote again:
"Will this be the year that Intel gets its mojo back? I believe it will be. Intel will have the plants and the demand, but it also has pesky AMD (AMD:NYSE - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) eating its lunch because the paranoids at the top are all retired or dead, I guess. Intel is a quandary, a not-expensive growth stock that needs to buy Qualcomm (QCOM:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) or Broadcom (BRCM:Nasdaq - commentary - research - Cramer's Take) but failed to do so when they were cheap. I'd pay 19 times the $1.65 I believe Intel can earn, and I can see the stock trading up to $31 -- I know, not exciting, but that's what happens when you make your bed with WiFi and let your darned opponent catch up to you in price and public relations. I miss former AMD CEO Jerry Sanders; he always could be counted on to mess up AMD when it most counted. Bring him back, and Intel goes to $40. "
I doubt that there is much more bad news in INTC that we don't know about. The company sells at 16 times earnings, has an ROE of 23%, sells at 3 times book, 3 times sales and yields over 2%. My guess is that it is worth a shot here as all the bad news is out. If they restructure and cut costs the stock will move up and if a new CEO comes on board (HPQ) more perceived good news and a higher price. The final piece of the puzzle will be a Cramer upgrade when the stock gets to 25(lol).
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