11.18.2007

BARRONS BOMB?


Barrons - bearish on MGM WYNN LVS LLY and ADM and bullish on Japan (EWJ JOF TM NMR) and BCS.


Not surprisingly, they are bearish on the casinos- MGM is +55%, WYNN+43% and LVS +33% and that is after a stellar 2006 where they increased +56%, +71% and +127% respectively.


Why is Barrons bearish-


high valuations;


waning margins as supply catches up with demand;


limited pool of skilled workers in Macau;


potential cost overruns;


limited non gambling revenues;


Not sure if the bulls or bears are correct on the gaming stocks but I do know there are some very savvy folks long the stocks:


MGM - more than 50% of shares owned by Kirkorian and about 8% owned by Marsico funds.


LVS- more than half owned by founder Sheldon Adelson and another 8% owned by Marsico funds.


WYNN- Steve Wynn with more than 20%, Marsico funds with over 13%, Baron funds with about 6% and David Winter's WGRNX fund with about 1,400,000 shares.

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