8.14.2006

TRADING PLAN


Markets continue higher led by techs, semis, trannies and retailers with oils and metals still at the back of the train. The internals continue to be a bullish tell with 2,300 more winners than losers, but I don't see them improving as the markets move higher.

Also, check the VXO as it slumps down to the 13.35 level or about 6% below its 10 day SMA. The general rule is that the markets rarely make much upside progress when the volatility indexes trade more than 5% below their 10 day SMA.

The SMH, which I bought on Friday is now up 2.25% from its Friday close and is the best performing major market ETF on my screens. Hopefully it has a little further to run.

I am looking to buy the oil patch today as the XLE and OIH are getting pasted and now have very low RSI readings. This has been a pretty good buy signal in the recent past and I don't see why today will be any different.

4 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Nice call on the SMH. I had some & bought more friday afternoon. Quite a ramp this morning. Hope it holds, but that does not seem to be the trend. Really like your blog comments BTW.

12:19 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey David,

Was it you who mentioned RSI(5) on VIX the other week? I think it was.

Anyway it is now < 30

Cheers

12:39 PM  
Blogger DAVID said...

Yes it was- And if you look at the VXO chart, You will see it is under 30-

1:32 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Well it seems to be working.. nice gap fill

Cheers

3:10 PM  

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