9.18.2009

FISHING (SORT OF)


9.17.2009

MIDDAY TRADE


Equity markets are trading near the flat line finally digesting some of the recent gains. SPX -.33, NAZ -.65 and DJIA +6.


Strongest sectors- gaming, airlines, defense, brokers and real estate while metals, ags, semis, trannies and homies lag.


NYSE- 200 net winners;

NAZ- 25 net winners;

NDX- 46 GREEN;

SPX- 220 GREEN;


VIX- down a bit at 23.35.


TRIN- 1.17 with up and down volume about equal.


GOLD down $3 at 1017 while silver is unch at 17.4.


Dollar down a tad at 76.41 while the EURO is up a bit at 1.4735.


Market feels like it could do just about anything today as the bulls seem to have a little less conviction today- although the boys could show in the late PM and drive us higher- that has been the usual movie.


EARLY LOOK (VERY)


Its about 1.00 AM eastern and the futures are actually trading lower- first time in quite a while that red appears on the screen.


Anyhow- some links:


BESPOKE on the stocks above their 200 day SMA's and how far high yield spreads have fallen- good for the high yield longs ;


The Quant with more on the stretch;


Jimmy Rogers expecting some kind of crisis;


US Credit card defaults - moving on up;


TXT on the GS conviction BUY list and another list;


Dougie continues to take the trades from the short side;


Another Wall Street casualty;




9.16.2009

THE CLOSE


Market just has one direction for now and its pretty tough to buy at these RSI 2 levels- 100 across the board on major indexes.


Strong sectors today - nat gas, Australia, reits, banks, internets, homies and oil service- laggards were drugs, gaming, semis, ags and biotech.


NYSE- 1940 net winners.

NAZ- 1000 net winners.

NDX- 78 GREEN.

SPX- 407 GREEN.


VIX- up 1% at 23.69 while VXX was down a hair.


Gold crude and nat gas all up on the day while ags were down- as was the dollar-


Market is over bought - and no one knows when the correction will come- it will come - and most will be buying that dip and then selling probably causing a nice correction-

LATE MORNING LOOK


Equity markets continue to defy gravity and are higher once again- with the SPX +6, NAZ +8 and the DJIA +27.


Strong sectors- nat gas, gaming, banks, metals, airlines and internets while semis, ags, trannies and drugs lag.


NYSE- 1350 net green;

NAZ- 600 net green;

NDX- 50 GREEN;

SPX- 315 GREEN;


VIX- down 2% at 23.2 and about 8% below the SMA 10.


TRIN- .66 with up volume about 4x the down.


Gold at 1017.


Silver at 17.34.


Dollar down a hair at 76.61 while the EURO is up a hair at 1.469.


RSI 2 levels - about 98 on most major indexes.


Not much to say except the markets are way overbought but refuse to pull back- probably a close near the highs- also gold now looking very good for a move up to 1050.

9.15.2009

CLOSING LEVELS


Markets closed higher but there was some selling in the last hour as we did not close at the best levels of the day- SPX +3.25, NAZ +11 and the DJIA +56.


Strong sectors included gaming, metals, crude, ags, silver, homies and real estate while drugs, biotech, brokers and retail lagged.


NYSE- 1200 net winners;

NAZ- 470 net winners;

NDX- 54 GREEN;

SPX 300 GREEN;


VIX- down 2% and over sold at 23.35.


TRIN- meaningless at 1.66 with up volume at 1.5x the down and heavy with 1.5 B shares traded.


Silver up almost 3% at 17+ and gold up a hair at $1009- looks like it could move higher if the dollar continues its downward way- DX was down .32% at 76.715 while the EURO was up at 1.467.


RSI 2 levels well above over bought levels between 95 and 100 on most major indexes.


Looking for a little pullback here as some will insist on profits to pay some bills-

MY TAKE


Choppy and sloppy this morning with the Naz out performing the SPX - NAZ +3 SPX -2 and DJIA -5.


Strongest sectors- gaming, nat gas, metals, homies, ags and junk bonds while drugs, oil service, retail and real estate lags.


NYSE- 360 net green;

NAZ- flat internals;

NDX- 48 GREEN;

SPX- 215 GREEN;


VIX- flat at 23.85;


TRIN- 1.51- up and down volume about equal-


Metal stocks trading higher despite the flat spot gold- silver up near $17 while nat gas continues to out perform crude.


Many stocks in the key sector area trading red including C SLB LLY AMGN COP JPM PFE HD CVX VZ XOM WMT MON PG BAC KO MMM GS UPS UTX and they are all down from the open.


RSI 2 levels - high 70's on the SPX and mid 90's on the outperforming NAZ/NDX.


RUT also a winning sector with a reading of 94.


I suspect we get the usual afternoon ramp and I am sitting on my hands waiting for a little PM fireworks.


9.14.2009

MORNING CHECKS


Markets opened lower on the heels of weak markets over seas but have been steadily climbing higher from the open. SPX -3, NAZ -4 and DJIA -24.


Strongest sectors- gaming, biotech, drugs, brokers and energy while metals, banks, homies, reits, internets and retail lag.


NYSE- 575 net losers;

NAZ- 500 net losers;

NDX- 45 GREEN;

SPX- 185 GREEN;


VIX- up 3% at 24.9 and at/near the SMA 10.


TRIN- 1.32 with down volume about 2x the up.


RSI 2 levels as follows:


SPX 61;

NDX 80;

DJIA 50;

RUT 67;


Strength in tech and drugs - as the markets shake off the opening weakness- lets see if it closes green - I suspect it does.